Super Micro Computer Stock Tumbles on Recent News. Time to Buy or Stay Away?

It's been a tough few months for Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI), whose stock has come under pressure for a variety of reasons this year. The stock first dropped in April following a mixed reaction to its fiscal 2024 third-quarter results. That trend extended to its fourth-quarter earnings release in early August with declining margins worrying investors.

The company was then the subject of a short-selling report in late August from Hindenburg Research, which accused the company of accounting manipulation, evading sanctions, and related-party self-dealings by management. Not helping matters, the company delayed the filing of its 10-K shortly following the short report, though management has denied any wrongdoing.

On Sept. 26, the stock sank even further following a report from The Wall Street Journal alleging the Department of Justice (DOJ) is also investigating the company. Neither the DOJ nor the company have confirmed the investigation.

And most recently, Supermicro completed its 10-for-1 stock split on Oct. 1. These various developments have all made the stock very volatile with shares down 66% from their March peak. But Supermicro is still up over 45% year to date, and that raises the question: What should investors do with the stock now?

So what does Super Micro Computer do anyway?

Supermicro designs and manufactures servers and storage systems. It assembles what is commonly referred to as white box servers, which are basically the generic-brand versions of servers, using commercially available retail computer parts. It competes against other white box server providers as well as brand name offerings from Dell, Lenovo, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise.

The company has benefited from the massive data center buildouts as part of the artificial intelligence (AI) craze. The company's revenue has been surging with 143% growth in its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter (ended June 30) to $5.31 billion. Supermicro has credited its next-generation air-cooled and DLC rack scale AI GPU platforms for its strong growth. These systems are used to stop servers from overheating and failing while also reducing energy costs.

While Supermicro has ridden strong AI tailwinds, it's ultimately in a highly competitive, low-margin business without a lot of differentiation. Its revenue may have soared last quarter, but its gross margin sank to 11.2% from 17.0% a year ago and 15.5% the previous quarter. The company blamed its margin pressure on a combination of product mix, reduced prices to win new designs, and the costs of ramping up its direct liquid-cooled (DLC) rack scale AI GPU clusters. Management is projecting its gross margin will gradually improve throughout fiscal 2025 and return to a range of 14% to 17%.